YouGov’s final update of the 2025 Canadian election MRP model suggests the Liberals will win a modest majority of between 162 seats and 204 seats, with a central estimate of 185.

Reform UK have clear leads in inaugural races for Lincolnshire and Hull mayors

YouGov’s first projection of the 2025 Canadian federal election is a Liberal majority of 20, which would see Prime Minister Carney return to 24 Sussex with small but very workable government majority.

What is the one news story the British public have heard most about in the last few days?

Although just 4% of Britons believe that the climate is not changing, public scepticism towards climate policy is increasing

Rachel Reeves and Kemi Badenoch reach new levels of negativity

What is the one news story the British public have heard most about in the last few days?

What is the one news story the British public have heard most about in the last few days?

MPs are most likely to agree that Whitehall is too risk averse, slow, and inflexible

The public are more likely to say they are larger, and more unfair

But 25% of Labour voters see the Conservatives and Labour as similar, double the number who said so in the aftermath of the election

The public are less clear of what Starmer stands for now than they were before the election

How popular are Western European leaders in their own countries?

What is the one news story the British public have heard most about in the last few days?

Germans are the most likely to foresee a major disruption to their economy

81% of Britons say the government is badly handling the cost of living

70% of Britons think the government is managing the economy badly, with few expecting them to meet their economic targets

Central projection: Labor 75 seats; Coalition 60 seats; Independent 11; Greens 2; KAP 1; Centre Alliance 1

Attitudes on Scotland’s leaders and the most important issues facing the country

What is the one news story the British public have heard most about in the last few days?