83% of current Labour voters would support a Labour-Lib Dem coalition after the next election

Plaid Cymru lead in race for next year’s Senedd election, with Labour on just 18%

YouGov produced the first publicly available MRP in a Canadian election. Overall, we are pleased with how the model performed on three key measures.

Central projection: Labor 84 seats; Coalition 47 seats; Independent 14; Greens 3; KAP 1; Centre Alliance 1

Less than half the voters of either party would support folding the Conservatives and Reform UK into one

And how does that compare to the views of political scientists?

What is the one news story the British public have heard most about in the last few days?

YouGov’s final update of the 2025 Canadian election MRP model suggests the Liberals the Liberals will win between 170 seats and 204 seats, with a central estimate of 185.

Reform UK have clear leads in inaugural races for Lincolnshire and Hull mayors

YouGov’s first projection of the 2025 Canadian federal election is a Liberal majority of 20, which would see Prime Minister Carney return to 24 Sussex with small but very workable government majority.

What is the one news story the British public have heard most about in the last few days?

Although just 4% of Britons believe that the climate is not changing, public scepticism towards climate policy is increasing

Rachel Reeves and Kemi Badenoch reach new levels of negativity

What is the one news story the British public have heard most about in the last few days?

What is the one news story the British public have heard most about in the last few days?

MPs are most likely to agree that Whitehall is too risk averse, slow, and inflexible

The public are more likely to say they are larger, and more unfair

But 25% of Labour voters see the Conservatives and Labour as similar, double the number who said so in the aftermath of the election

The public are less clear of what Starmer stands for now than they were before the election

How popular are Western European leaders in their own countries?