Initial analysis of YouGov’s election polling
Anthony Wells compares the 2019 election results against what YouGov's MRP model was saying
-
-
Final 2019 general election MRP model: small Conservative majority likely
Most Tory gains likely in the north, in areas that voted Leave, while they are performing less well in the south, London and Scotland
-
YouGov MRP: Conservatives 359, Labour 211, SNP 43, LD 13, Plaid 4, Green 1
Tories set for majority by taking Labour seats in Brexit heartlands
-
Latest polling reveals effect of Brexit Party strategy
As we learn more about which constituencies parties will target in the general election, we can adapt our polling to improve accuracy
-
False recall, and how it affects polling
How the YouGov method avoids errors introduced by people’s faulty memories
-
Hunt overtakes Johnson as the public's preferred Prime Minister
Jeremy Hunt now leads Boris Johnson as the public's preferred successor by 41% to 29%. Among Conservative voters, Johnson is ahead by 48% to ...
-
How we design election polling questions
Anthony Wells provides an explains why voting intention surveys work the way they do
-
Here's how we prompt for the Brexit Party, and why it's more accurate
How pollsters ask questions is an eternally controversial issue...
-
What do the public think about a "No Deal" Brexit?
Anthony Wells looks at how popular leaving the EU without a Brexit deal actually is
-
Deal, no deal or delay: what the public thinks
Anthony Wells sees where the public stands on the possible outcomes of Theresa May's forthcoming Brexit votes
