Leave voters are slightly more likely to be having doubts than Remainers
Despite the best efforts of campaigners on either side, the furious national debate around Brexit only seems to have made most voters more sure of the way they cast their ballot in 2016.
New YouGov research finds that 64% of Remain voters and 57% of Leave voters say that they are “more sure than I was that I voted the right way”. A further 22% and 25% respectively say that they are about as sure as they were that they voted the right way.
Only a small proportion have had their confidence shaken over the last few years, and not all of these are so sure that they would change their minds as a result. Among Remain voters, 2% say they are less sure about the way they voted, but not enough to change it, while 4% say they are less sure to the extent they would now change their votes.
Among Leave voters these figures are slightly higher – 5% are less sure than they were but would stay the course, but another 7% say they would change their vote is called upon for another visit to the ballot box.
The results generally correspond with wider polling which has shown a small swing to Remain since the referendum.
Digging slightly further into the figures reveals that Labour Leave voters and Conservative Remain voters are noticeably more likely to be having second thoughts than those who voted more in line with the party orthodoxy. One in eight Conservative Remain voters (12%) now say they would change their vote, compared to 4% of Conservative Leave voters. Likewise, 13% of Labour Leave voters are less sure about their 2016 stance to the extent that they would change their vote now, compared to just 1% of Labour Remainers.