A do-it-yourself election prediction kit
The general election is now just over eight months away. None of us can be sure what will happen. What we can do, however, ...
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Support grows for military action in Iraq
Britain’s voters are more willing to support military action in Iraq than they were a year ago in Syria. Last August, after Syrian forces ...
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Boris needs to get serious
Nobody could have been surprised by Boris Johnson’s announcement that he intends to stand for parliament next year. We all knew he would, just ...
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A voteless recovery?
As they head for their holidays, senior Conservatives are beginning to worry that they are failing to benefit fully from Britain’s economic recovery. Recent ...
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Obama risks losing the Senate
Last week MPs started their summer recess, their last chance for a break before the run-in to next year’s general election. Many of them ...
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Your problem, PM, is blowing in the wind
Cameron really needs his party to win at least 40% support. That won’t be easy. It would mean adding three percentage points to the ...
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Voters are wary of all MPs, not just paedophiles
There is something odd, and revealing, in YouGov’s latest poll for the Sunday Times. We asked a series of questions about the controversies surrounding ...
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Railways: Miliband gets it right
For a party whose aim is not to dismantle capitalism but to improve it, making a commitment to full railway nationalisation could have worsened ...
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Why do the polls in Scotland vary so much?
Peter Kellner's latest commentary analyses methodological issues around Scottish independence polling
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The trouble with Ed
Miliband has yet to persuade the electorate that he has the personal qualities needed to lead Britain. Fresh research helps to explain his failure ...
