Patrick is Director of Political Analytics and YouGov's spokesman on political research. Patrick is responsible for election modelling and forecasting across YouGov's European markets, and leads on research and development for survey methods, data analysis, artificial intelligence, segmentation models, and MRP products. His work at YouGov focuses on producing in-depth knowledge and cutting-edge analytics, helping political parties, think tanks, pressure groups, and third sector and academic clients better understand and change their world in data. He holds a Doctorate from the University of Manchester and remains active in contributing to academic research and publications.
You can follow Patrick on Twitter at @PME_Politics
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MRP: attitudes to small boats migrants in England & Wales constituencies
Deporting such migrants without giving them a chance to appeal is the plurality preference in most constituencies
16 Jan 2024 - Article
Undecided Conservatives still lean towards the party
While the Conservatives are holding on to just 40% of those who backed them in 2019, there is little sign that their undecided 2019 voters are ready to jump ship to Labour
03 Nov 2023 - Article
Who are the Conservative “don’t knows”?
Older, non-degree educated women homeowners make up the bulk of people telling YouGov they don’t know how they would vote if there were an election tomorrow
26 Oct 2023 - Article
2023 party conferences fail to significantly shift public opinion dials
Post-conference data suggests little movement in terms of voting intention, party competency, and leadership ratings
19 Oct 2023 - Article
Small boats migrants: instant removal, or process the claims? The public are split
New YouGov polling suggests no particularly strong alignment with either the Conservative nor Labour position on the issue
22 Sep 2023 - Article
YouGov MRP in Spain correctly predicts hung parliament
First public MRP in Spain correctly projects right-wing coalition would fall short of the majority line
25 Jul 2023 - Article
2023 Spanish general election final call: right-wing majority on a knife-edge
PP and Vox would take exactly half of seats in Spain’s lower house based on our median estimates
17 Jul 2023 - Article
YouGov MRP shows PP ahead in close Spanish general election
YouGov is the first pollster to use MRP to cover a general election in Spain
07 Jul 2023 - Article
Scotland MRP: SNP could fall to just 27 seats if an election were held tomorrow
New model suggests that Labour’s constituency count in Scotland could return to levels not seen since before 2015
24 May 2023 - Article
YouGov MRP successfully tells the story of the 2023 local elections
In line with our projections, Labour make significant gains across marginal and Red Wall councils, as the Liberal Democrats sweep across the Blue Wall
09 May 2023