Patrick is Director of Political Analytics and YouGov's spokesman on political research. Patrick designed and delivered YouGov's industry-leading MRP models for both the 2023 Spanish and 2024 British general elections. He is responsible for election modelling and forecasting across YouGov's European markets, and leads on research and development on experimental survey designs, data analytics, artificial intelligence, segmentation models, and MRP products. His client work at YouGov focuses on producing in-depth knowledge and cutting-edge analytics, helping political parties, think tanks, pressure groups, and third sector and academic clients better understand and change their world in data. He holds a Doctorate from the University of Manchester and remains active in contributing to academic research and publications.
You can follow Patrick on Twitter at @PME_Politics
ArticleAccording to the public, Labour’s first Budget was primarily about tax rises
Using our AI Topic Quantifier tool, YouGov examines exactly what the main takeaway for Britons was from the 2024 Labour Budget
01 Nov 2024- Article
Kemi Badenoch leads in first YouGov poll of Tory members for 2024 leadership contest
The former business and trade secretary has an early lead, on 24% of the vote, but the field remains open
23 Aug 2024 - Article
How YouGov's seat and vote projections fared at the 2024 UK general election
YouGov correctly called 92% of seats
05 Jul 2024 - Article
Final YouGov MRP shows Labour on course for historic election victory
Tory seat total would also be a record low
03 Jul 2024 - Article
Second YouGov 2024 election MRP shows Conservatives on lowest seat total in history
Labour are on course to win a record-breaking number of seats
19 Jun 2024 - Article
First YouGov MRP of 2024 general election shows Labour on track to beat 1997 landslide
Not only would Starmer’s majority be bigger than the number Tony Blair achieved in 1997 (179), but it would in fact be the second largest majority in British political history after Stanley Baldwin’s figure of 210 in 1924.
03 Jun 2024 - Article
Local elections 2024: YouGov MRP predicts significant Conservative losses to Labour
Local authorities across the North and Midlands could see significant Labour gains
30 Apr 2024 - Article
YouGov MRP – Labour now projected to win over 400 seats
Our latest UK general election 2024 MRP projects a 154 seat majority for Labour
03 Apr 2024 - Article
MRP: attitudes to small boats migrants in England & Wales constituencies
Deporting such migrants without giving them a chance to appeal is the plurality preference in most constituencies
16 Jan 2024 - Article
Undecided Conservatives still lean towards the party
While the Conservatives are holding on to just 40% of those who backed them in 2019, there is little sign that their undecided 2019 voters are ready to jump ship to Labour
03 Nov 2023