YouGov produced the first publicly available MRP in a Canadian election. Overall, we are pleased with how the model performed on three key measures.

YouGov’s final update of the 2025 Canadian election MRP model suggests the Liberals the Liberals will win between 170 seats and 204 seats, with a central estimate of 185.

YouGov’s first projection of the 2025 Canadian federal election is a Liberal majority of 20, which would see Prime Minister Carney return to 24 Sussex with small but very workable government majority.

An early analysis of how YouGov's vote and seat projections fared in showing the reality of the 2025 German federal election

Patrick English looks at how the polls have shifted over the course of the German election campaign

Britons do not think that the Conservatives are ready for government, nor that Badenoch looks like a prime minister in waiting

Using our AI Topic Quantifier tool, YouGov examines exactly what the main takeaway for Britons was from the 2024 Labour Budget

The former business and trade secretary has an early lead, on 24% of the vote, but the field remains open

YouGov correctly called 92% of seats

Tory seat total would also be a record low