French voting intention for the 2024 European Parliament election, May 2024

Mark CunninghamContent Editor
May 24, 2024, 2:47 PM GMT+0

With the European Parliament elections taking place on 9 June, voters will decide who will represent France in Strasbourg. Since the beginning of the year, YouGov has been tracking French voting intentions, and can reveal which parties are on track to come out on top.

National Rally are on track to be the largest French party in the European Parliament

YouGov’s latest polling – conducted on 6-15 May - finds that the right-wing group ‘Rassemblement National’ (National Rally) led by Jordan Bardella would receive the largest vote share (32%) from the French electorate. This would be a nine-point increase from the 2019 election where they won 23% of the vote share.

A sixth of voters (17%) say they will vote for Ensemble (Emmanuel Macron’s Renaissance party in coalition with MoDem, Horizons and UDI), which would make them the second largest party. The parties collectively received 25% of the vote in 2019.

The Socialist Party (in coalition with ‘Place Publique’) are polling third on 13% of the vote. Nationalist party ‘Reconquête’ are trailing fourth on 6%, tying with the Republicans and Melenchon’s ‘France Insoumise’ (France Unbowed).

The latest results are the fifth in a series of polls YouGov France has conducted since the beginning of the year. National Rally has been consistently far ahead each time, with Ensemble likewise stable in second place.

The most notable change since the beginning of the year is the Socialist Party’s growing vote share, having pulled ahead of the rest of the pack from 8% in January to a clear third place on 13% in this latest poll.

See the results for the months below:

Photo: Getty

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