Voting Intention: Conservatives 38%, Labour 46% (5-6 Jul)

Voting Intention: Conservatives 38%, Labour 46% (5-6 Jul)
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YouGov’s first voting intention figures since the general election see Labour with an 8 point lead

Not even one month after Theresa May’s general election gamble disastrously backfired, the first YouGov/Times voting intention figures of the new Parliament show that things have only gotten worse for the Tories.

Our headline voting intention has Labour on 46%, compared to the Conservatives’ 38%, an 8 point lead for Labour. Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats are on 6%, whilst votes for other parties stand at 9%.

Methodology note: Our political polls are now weighted to the 2017 election result. We have also returned to our usual practice between elections of removing respondents who select don't know to the voting intention question from the headline figure rather than re-allocating them, a method that closely tracked the results of our MRP model during the election campaign. UKIP were overstated in our final results and, given their level of support at the election we have returned to our pre-2015 practice of not including UKIP in the main prompt and grouping them with "other parties". As ever, YouGov keep our methodology under constant review and will announce further changes if we make them.

See the full results here

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