Voting intention 17 April - C 33%, L 30%, LD 29%

Anthony WellsHead of European Political and Social Research
April 17, 2010, 8:47 PM GMT+0

Our latest daily polling figures for the Sunday Times (fieldwork 16th-17th April) are:

  • Conservative 33%
  • Labour 30%
  • Liberal Democrat 29%
  • Others 8%

The general election will be held on May 6. On a scale of 0 (certain NOT to vote) to 10 (absolutely certain to vote), how likely are you to vote in the general election?

0 - Certain NOT to vote: 3%

1: 1%

2: 1%

3: 1%

4: 1%

5: 3%

6: 2%

7: 4%

8: 7%

9: 10%

10 - Absolutely certain to vote: 66%

Don't know: 1%

Additional questions

Have you pretty much made up your mind how you are going to vote in the coming general election, or might you still change your mind?

Pretty much made up my mind: 63%

Might still change my mind: 31%

Don't know: 6%

If you changed your mind, which party would you be most likely to vote for?

[All who might change their mind]

Conservative: 10%

Labour: 13%

Liberal Democrat: 31%

Respect: 0%

Scottish National Party / Plaid Cymru: 2%

United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP): 9%

British National Party (BNP): 4%

Green: 6%

Some other party: 2%

Would not vote: 9%

Don't know: 15%

Do you think Gordon Brown is doing well or badly as prime minister?

Very well: 6%

Fairly well: 33%

Fairly badly: 29%

Very badly: 28%

Don't know: 3%

Do you think that David Cameron is doing well or badly as Conservative leader?

Very well: 9%

Fairly well: 47%

Fairly badly: 25%

Very badly: 12%

Don't know: 8%

Do you think that Nick Clegg is doing well or badly as leader of the Liberal Democrats?

Very well: 33%

Fairly well: 48%

Fairly badly: 6%

Very badly: 3%

Don't know: 10%

If you had to choose, which would you prefer to see after the next election, a Conservative government led by David Cameron or a Labour government led by Gordon Brown?

Conservative government led by David Cameron: 44%

Labour government led by Gordon Brown: 42%

Don't know: 14%

Have you found the general election campaign over the past two or three days:

Very interesting: 17%

Fairly interesting: 43%

Fairly boring: 24%

Very boring: 12%

Don't know: 4%

[All who did not watch any of Thursday's TV debate; n = 634]

Which of these was the main reason you did not watch it?

I was doing something else: 63%

I was not interested: 37%

[All who watched some or all of the debate; n = 856]

Which of the leaders impressed you most?

David Cameron: 10%

Nick Clegg: 70%

Gordon Brown: 12%

None of them: 7%

Don't know: 1%

Which of them came across as the strongest leader?

David Cameron: 23%

Nick Clegg: 37%

Gordon Brown: 28%

None of them: 7%

Don't know: 5%

Which of them came across as the most prime ministerial?

David Cameron: 28%

Nick Clegg: 21%

Gordon Brown: 36%

None of them: 8%

Don't know: 7%

Which of them struck you as the most honest?

David Cameron: 12%

Nick Clegg: 61%

Gordon Brown: 15%

None of them: 9%

Don't know: 3%

Who was the most charismatic?

David Cameron: 19%

Nick Clegg: 62%

Gordon Brown: 4%

None of them: 11%

Don't know: 4%

Which of them did you like on a personal level the most?

David Cameron: 19%

Nick Clegg: 55%

Gordon Brown: 15%

None of them: 7%

Don't know: 3%

Which of the following best sums up your view of the debate?

Interesting and engaging: 55%

Boring and predictable: 30%

Neither: 15%

Don't know: 1%

Has the debate influenced the way you are likely to vote?

Yes - it has reinforced my support for my party: 29%

Yes - I now have more doubts about my party: 15%

Yes - I have changed my mind about which party to support: 11%

No it has not influenced my choice of party: 42%

Don't know: 4%

Do you agree or disagree with the following statements:

Britain is a three-party state

Strongly agree: 13%

Tend to agree: 37%

Tend to disagree: 31%

Strongly disagree: 11%

Don't know: 8%

A hung parliament with the Liberal Democrats holding the balance of power could be a good thing

Strongly agree: 17%

Tend to agree: 36%

Tend to disagree: 20%

Strongly disagree: 17%

Don't know: 11%

I will consider voting tactically in the election to help the Liberal Democrats

Strongly agree: 12%

Tend to agree: 22%

Tend to disagree: 19%

Strongly disagree: 36%

Don't know: 11%

I have never voted Liberal Democrat before but I am considering doing so now

Strongly agree: 12%

Tend to agree: 21%

Tend to disagree: 24%

Strongly disagree: 34%

Don't know: 9%

How likely are you to watch one or both of the other two TV debates?

Absolutely certain: 13%

Very likely: 32%

Possibly: 29%

Definitely not: 13%

Probably not: 10%

Don't know: 2%

Do you agree or disagree with the following statements about immigration:

Politicians from the main parties are not talking enough about immigration in this election.

Agree: 53%

Disagree: 30%

Don't know: 18%

The number of immigrants coming to Britain each year is far too high.

Agree: 76%

Disagree: 15%

Don't know: 9%

Which of these statements comes closer to your view?

Many immigrants have taken jobs from British workers and pushed up unemployment: 42%

Immigrants mainly do jobs that British people did not want to do: 52%

Don't know: 7%

Which of these parties has the best policies on immigration?

Labour: 12%

Conservative: 20%

Liberal Democrat: 15%

British National Party (BNP): 12%

United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP): 9%

Some other party: 1%

Don't know: 32%

Would you seriously consider voting for the BNP or UKIP because of their policies on immigration?

Yes - BNP, but not UKIP: 3%

Yes - UKIP, but not BNP: 16%

Yes - either of them: 11%

No - neither of them: 65%

Don't know: 6%

Turning to another topic, it has been suggested that when MPs at Westminster consider issues that affect only England, only English MPs (and not Scottish, Welsh or Northern Irish MPs) should be allowed to vote on them. Do you support or oppose this idea?

Support: 66%

Oppose: 17%

Don't know: 17%

The Scottish National Party claims that if Scots vote to become independent Scotland would be entitled to 95% of the North Sea oil revenue currently received by the UK Treasury. Do you think...

An independent Scotland would deserve to get 95% of oil revenues because most of the oil is in Scottish waters: 15%

It is British, not Scottish, oil, and the revenues should be shared equally throughout Britain: 70%

Don't know: 15%

Do you think it was right or wrong for UK taxpayers to rescue Scottish banks with billions of pounds of public money?

It was right for UK taxpayers to support UK banks, and we have all benefited from the survival and revival of Britain's economy: 54%

It was wrong: any rescue should have been organised by Scotland's government with Scotland's money: 30%

Don't know: 16%

Would you be personally be happy or unhappy if Scotland one day became a fully independent country?

I would be happy: 19%

I would be unhappy: 28%

I wouldn't be bothered one way or the other: 47%

Don't know: 5%

Scotland currently receives around 20% more public spending per head of population than England. Do you think Scotland gets ...

More than its fair share of government spending: 59%

Pretty much its fair share, given Scotland's large land area and the costs that arise from this: 24%

Less than its fair share: 3%

Don't know: 13%