Libya: Tracking opinion

Anthony WellsHead of European Political and Social Research
April 05, 2011, 7:08 PM GMT+0

Our latest voting intention figures in our daily polling for the Sun have the Conservatives on 37%, Labour on 42% and the Liberal Democrats on 9%. This is broadly consistent with our recent figures ‒ aside from a brief bounce for the Government straight after the Budget, when the Labour lead was temporarily cut to 3 points, our polling over the last few weeks has tended to show a Labour lead of between 5 and 7 points.

Since the beginning of the allied bombing in Libya, we have also been asking daily questions on whether people think it is the right or wrong thing for the West to do. Support for the action in Libya has been quite volatile, moving from day to day, presumably in response to reports emerging from Libya. However, there is no clear trend, and our latest figures show 43% of people think it is right, 37% think it is wrong.

There is a much clearer pattern when we ask if people think the allied action in Libya is going well or badly. Whereas early in the intervention, a majority of people thought things were going well (with typically 55-58% thinking things were going well and only 19-21% thinking things were going badly), opinion changed sharply towards the end of last week with media coverage of retreats by the rebel forces. In our most recent poll only 42% thought things were going well in Libya, with 30% thinking they were going badly.

See our Libya trackers here