Euro 2012 – Who will win it? Top-flight football fans predict!
by Harris MacLeod in Sports Lab
Tue June 12, 9:24 a.m. BST
Euro 2012 fever is upon us!
YouGov’s SportsLab invited our panel's dedicated football fans to tell us which teams and players they think will dominate UEFA's European Championships; how the England team will fare in the tournament; how many goals will be scored overall; and who they thought could be the underdog of the competition.
1,754 self-professed football fans from the YouGov panel took part to give their predictions in our Euro2012 SportsLab. Do you agree with their predictions? Read and comment below!
Q: Which two teams do you think will reach the final?
- Those of you who took part predicted that Spain and Germany would be the two teams competing for the Henri Delaunay Trophy, named after the first General Secretary of UEFA.
- Spain are the defending champions, having won its second title the last time the tournament was held, in 2008, when Germany came in second.
- Germany is the most successful team in the history of the UEFA European Football Championships, having won the title three times.
Q: Which of these two teams do you think will win the Championships?
- Although it was close, a slightly larger proportion of participants predicted that Spain would walk off with the trophy, and Germany would finish as the runner-up.
- Those who thought Spain would be the ultimate winner cited the team’s technical ability, tournament experience and confidence as reasons why.
- Participants who said Germany would be the Euro 2012 victor said the team’s youthfulness and superior organisation would enable it to triumph over Spain.
Q: Are there any teams you think will do better than people expect them to, despite being the underdogs of the competition?
- Of those who took part in the discussion, the largest proportion said that Russia would be underdog most likely to surprise football fans with a good performance.
- The second highest proportion said England would exceed expectations.
- And finally Croatia was the third most popular underdog team that participants predicted would do better than expected.
The winner of Euro 2012 will be...
Q: Who do you think will be the tournament's top goal scorer?
- The highest proportion of participants thought that Dutch player Robin Van Persie, who is a striker for Arsenal and the Dutch national team, would be Euro 2012’s top goal scorer.
- The second largest proportion of those who took part in the discussion picked German striker Mario Gómez as the player most likely to be Euro 2012’s top goal scorer.
- And in a distant third place was Cristiano Ronaldo, who is the Captain of the Portuguese national team.
Q: How many goals do you think will be scored across the whole of the tournament?
- 75 was the number of goals that the largest proportion of participants predicted would be scored across the whole of the tournament, which runs from June 8th to July 1st. The last time the tournament was held, in 2008, 77 goals were scored in total.
- If you had all guessed together as a group, the final prediction would have been 85 goals, which was the mean average guesstimate.
Q: How well or badly do you think the England football team will do in Euro 2012?
- When it came to your predictions for how England would perform participants were split down the middle. Roughly half of you told us that England would do either very or fairly well, while the other half of you said England’s football team would do either very or fairly badly.
- Those who thought England would perform well said that Roy Hodgson’s effective management and the low expectations the public had for the team would both work in England’s favour.
- Participants who said England would fare badly said the star players chosen by Roy Hodgson are too old, and the younger ones too inexperienced. Many of you also cited Wayne Rooney’s suspension as a weakness for the team.
England's chances for Euro 2012?
There are still three weeks to go until the final match of Euro 2012, and we want to hear more of your predictions and reflections as the tournament develops. Let's keep the discussion going!
Labs Method statement
YouGovLabs research is anecdotal, with polls being open to all panellists who wish to take part. In contrast to YouGov’s Public Opinion polling, YouGov Labs seeks to get in touch with, and understand the attitudes of, specific subsets of people and their interests.
YouGovLabs results are unweighted, and figures reported do not reflect the attitudes of the population as a whole.
What are your predictions for Euro 2012?
Which teams and players will shine, and which will disappoint?